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The stochastic seasonal behavior of freight rate dynamics

Previous studies on freight rate dynamics have explored the behavior of freight rates and their characteristics, including unit root, among other factors. However, there are few articles related to the stochastic process characterizing their dynamics. Moreover, to the best of the authors’ knowledge, there are no articles that incorporate seasonality in the freight rate dynamics. In the present article, we propose a factor model for the stochastic behavior of TCE (Time Charter Equivalent) and WS (World Scale) prices where one factor is a seasonal factor. In addition, based on this type of modeling, we study the seasonal behavior of freight rates and find that models allowing for stochastic seasonality outperform models with deterministic seasonality. Therefore, ship owners and charterers can accommodate their business strategies to the facts that (i) freight rates are higher in winter and spring than in the summer and autumn and that (ii) these differences are not deterministic but stochastic. These facts have also important implications in derivatives valuation and hedging.

Ketersediaan
#
IPC Corporate University Library ATC PO POB t
ATC1600147
Tersedia
Informasi Detail
Judul Seri
-
No. Panggil
ATC PO POB t
Penerbit
Spain : 2015 Macmillan Publishers Ltd. 1479-2931.,
Deskripsi Fisik
21 pages
Bahasa
English
ISBN/ISSN
-
Klasifikasi
PO
Tipe Isi
-
Tipe Media
-
Tipe Pembawa
online resource
Edisi
Vol. 17, 2, 142–162
Subjek
Freight Forwading
Freight and Freightage
freight
Info Detail Spesifik
-
Pernyataan Tanggungjawab
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