Article

Are marine accident really accident? fallacy of random marine accidents in dry cargo Ffeet

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The aim of this paper is to investigate the relation between marine casualty and dry bulk cargo freight rate according to the existence of spurious accident phenomenon in the dry cargo vessel accidents. According to the conventional expectation, the volume of marine accidents is a random process since it is accidently occurred and not a man-made outcome. Under this circumstance, it is expected that the volume of marine accidents should be statistically uncorrelated with the freight market rates and positively correlated with the fleet size. However, the existence statistics on dry cargo marine accidents indicate high level of negative correlation with freight markets (-0.95 for no. of vessels and -0.79 for the volume of accidents in dwt) and also high level of negative correlation with the fleet size (-0.81 for the volume of accidents in dwt). The asymmetric interaction between the widely accepted facts and the statistical foundations is the main concern of this paper which is named the “Fallacy of Random Marine Accidents (FRMA)”. The possible reasons of the FRMA phenomenon are considered to be based on the man-made marine accidents because of the financial collapse or as the well known term the credit default risk

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Ketersediaan

Informasi Detail

Judul Seri

the asian journal of shipping and logistic

No. Panggil

ATC MR BUL a

Penerbit

Japan : Elsevier B.V., 2015

Deskripsi Fisik

13 pages

Bahasa

English

ISBN/ISSN

-

Klasifikasi

MR

Tipe Isi

-

Tipe Media

-

Tipe Pembawa

online resource

Edisi

vol. 31

Subjek

freight market
Causality Analysis
Dry Cargo Shipping

Info Detail Spesifik

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Pernyataan Tanggungjawab

BULUT, Emrah

Versi lain/terkait

Lampiran Berkas

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