Article

A method to estimate climate-critical construction materials applied to seaport protection

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Climate adaptation for coastal infrastructure projects raises unique challenges because global-scale environmental changes may require similar projects to be completed in many locations over the same time frame. Existing methods to forecast resource demand and capacity do not consider this phenomenon of a global change affecting many localities and the resulting increased demand for resources. Current methods do not relate to the most up-to-date climate science information, and they are too costly or too imprecise to generate global, regional, and local forecasts of “climate-critical resources” that will be required for infrastructure protection. They either require too much effort to create the many localized designs or are too coarse to consider information sources about local conditions andstructure-specific engineering knowledge. We formalized the concept of a “minimum assumption credible design” (MACD) to leverage available local information (topography/bathymetry and existing infrastructure) and the essential engineering knowledge and required construction materials (i.e., a design cross-section template). The aggregation of the resources required for individual local structures then forecasts the resource demand for global adaptation projects. We illustrate the application of the MACD method to estimate the demand for construction materials critical to protect seaports from sealevel-rise-enhanced storm surges. We examined 221 of the world’s 3,300+ seaports to calculate the resource requirements for a coastal storm surge protection structure suited to current upper-bound projections of two meters of sea level rise by 2100. We found that a project of this scale would require approximately 436 million cubic meters of construction materials, including cement, sand, aggregate, steel rebar, and riprap. For cement alone,
49 million metric tons would be required. The deployment of the MACD method would make resource forecasts for adaptation projects more transparent and widely accessible and would highlight areas where current engineering knowledge or material, engineering workforce, and equipment capacity fall short of meeting thedemands of adaptation projects.

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Ketersediaan

Informasi Detail

Judul Seri

Global Environmental Change

No. Panggil

ATC PO BEC a

Penerbit

United States of America : Elsevier., 2016

Deskripsi Fisik

12 p.

Bahasa

English

ISBN/ISSN

-

Klasifikasi

PO

Tipe Isi

-

Tipe Media

-

Tipe Pembawa

online resource

Edisi

-

Subjek

Global Environmental Change
seaport protection

Info Detail Spesifik

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Pernyataan Tanggungjawab

Austin Becker

Versi lain/terkait

Lampiran Berkas

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