Advanced uncertainty modelling for container port risk analysis

Pencarian berdasarkan :

SEMUA Pengarang Subjek ISBN/ISSN Pencarian Spesifik

Pencarian terakhir:

Image of Advanced uncertainty modelling for container port risk analysis

Article

Advanced uncertainty modelling for container port risk analysis

Jin Wang - Nama Orang; Stephen Bonsall - Nama Orang; Ramin Riahi - Nama Orang; Zaili Yang - Nama Orang; Hani Alyami - Nama Orang;

Globalization has led to a rapid increase of container movements in seaports. Risks in seaports need tobe appropriately addressed to ensure economic wealth, operational efficiency, and personnel safety. Asa result, the safety performance of a Container Terminal Operational System (CTOS) plays a growing rolein improving the efficiency of international trade. This paper proposes a novel method to facilitate theapplication of Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) in assessing the safety performance of CTOS.The new approach is developed through incorporating a Fuzzy Rule-Based Bayesian Network (FRBN)with Evidential Reasoning (ER) in a complementary manner. The former provides a realistic and flexiblemethod to describe input failure information for risk estimates of individual hazardous events (HEs) at thebottom level of a risk analysis hierarchy. The latter is used to aggregate HEs safety estimates collectively,allowing dynamic risk-based decision support in CTOS from a systematic perspective. The novel featureof the proposed method, compared to those in traditional port risk analysis lies in a dynamic modelcapable of dealing with continually changing operational conditions in ports. More importantly, a newsensitivity analysis method is developed and carried out to rank the HEs by taking into account theirspecific risk estimations (locally) and their Risk Influence (RI) to a port’s safety system (globally). Due toits generality, the new approach can be tailored for a wide range of applications in different safety andreliability engineering and management systems, particularly when real time risk ranking is required tomeasure, predict, and improve the associated system safety performance.

Ketersediaan

IPC Corporate University Library ATC PO ALY a C.1

ATC1600371

Tersedia

Informasi Detail

Judul Seri: Accident Analysis and Prevention
No. Panggil: ATC PO ALY a
Penerbit: Liverpool : Elsevier., 2015
Deskripsi Fisik: 9 p.
Bahasa: English
ISBN/ISSN: -
Klasifikasi: PO
Tipe Isi: -
Tipe Media: -
Tipe Pembawa: online resource
Edisi: -
Subjek: port safety
maritime risk
maritime safety
Info Detail Spesifik: -
Pernyataan Tanggungjawab: Hani Alyami

Versi lain/terkait

Judul	Edisi	Bahasa
On uncertainty in supply chain risk management	Vol. 25 No. 1, 2014 pp. 3-19	en
Supply chain risk management: a new methodology for a systematic literature review	Volume 17 · Number 4 · 2012 · 403–418	en
Logistics innovation: a literature-based conceptual framework	Vol. 20 No. 3, 2009	en
Risk management in construction project management		en
Assessing and managing risks using the supply chain risk management process (SCRMP)	Volume 16 · Number 6 · 2011 · 474–483	en
Risk analysis of vlcs base4d on tren of cargo growth	vol. 25	en
Human identification in information systems: management challenges and public policy issues		en
The internal predictors of business performance in small firms: A logistic regression analysis	Vol. 13 Iss 3 pp. 441 - 453	en
Starry-eyed: journal rankings and the future of logistics research	Vol. 43 Iss 1 pp. 6 - 17	en

Lampiran Berkas

Harap masuk untuk melihat lampiran

Komentar

Anda harus masuk sebelum memberikan komentar