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Article

Study of the optimal timing of container ship orders considering the uncertain shipping environment

Jun Woo JEON - Nama Orang; Gi Tae YEO - Nama Orang;

This study aims to apply System Dynamics (SD) to analyze the optimal timing of container ship orders by considering the uncertain shipping environment. The collected monthly data for 12 years was obtained from the China seaborne container trade (CSCT) and the China Containerized Freight Index (CCFI). Containership fleet development and the prices of new and second-hand container ships were classified based on five container vessel sizes (January of 2004–December of 2015). The period of simulation for this study was from 2004 to 2020. To analyze the optimal timing for the container ship orders, container ship fleet development as a supply factor and the CSCT as a demand factor, both of which are components of CCFI, were simulated. After the first simulation, CCFI was simulated holistically. Based on the CCFI simulation results, it was possible to develop three optimal timing scenarios for ship order placement. The CCFI for October 2016 was in the initial entry status of a short-term rebound, which makes it possible for shipping companies to order ships without the risk of revenue loss. The second best time period is May 2018, before the CCFI recovery of May 2019. The third best time for ship orders is later in 2020 for a CCFI recovery after 2021.


Ketersediaan
#
IPC Corporate University Library ATC LO TAE s C.1
ATC1601210
Tersedia
Informasi Detail
Judul Seri
The Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics
No. Panggil
ATC LO TAE s
Penerbit
Korean : Elsevier., 2017
Deskripsi Fisik
9 p.
Bahasa
English
ISBN/ISSN
-
Klasifikasi
LO
Tipe Isi
-
Tipe Media
-
Tipe Pembawa
online resource
Edisi
-
Subjek
System Dynamics
Container ships
Shipping company
Ship orders
Info Detail Spesifik
-
Pernyataan Tanggungjawab
Gi Tae YEO
Versi lain/terkait
JudulEdisiBahasa
The analysis of possibilities to enter the ports of the Baltic sea for big container shipsVol XVII, No 2, 66-70en
Wilh. Wilhelmsen shipping company : moving from CSR tradition to CSR leadershipVOL. 9 NO. 1 2009, pp. 73-82en
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Tentang Kami

PT Pendidikan Maritim dan Logistik Indonesia (PMLI) berdiri pada 10 Juli 2013, berdasarkan Akta Pendirian No. 26 Tanggal 10 Juli 2013 dan Akta Kementerian Hukum dan Hak Asasi Manusia No. AHU-45955.AH.01.01 tahun 2013.

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